中国生态旅游 ›› 2022, Vol. 12 ›› Issue (5): 788-800.doi: 10.12342/zgstly.20220053
收稿日期:
2022-05-06
修回日期:
2022-08-23
出版日期:
2022-10-28
发布日期:
2022-12-06
作者简介:
张广海(1963-),男,博士,教授,研究方向为旅游开发与规划管理、区域经济学。E-mail: guanghaizh@163.com
基金资助:
Received:
2022-05-06
Revised:
2022-08-23
Published:
2022-10-28
Online:
2022-12-06
摘要:
推动沿海地区旅游绿色发展,减少旅游业对资源与环境的压力,有利于保护旅游目的地的海洋生态系统,实现旅游与生态协调可持续发展。本研究以2011—2020年中国沿海地区11个省(市、区)面板数据为研究样本,采用空间计量模型估计方法,分析沿海地区旅游绿色发展对生态环境质量的影响。结果表明:(1)中国沿海地区旅游绿色发展水平与生态环境质量持续、稳步提升,且在地理空间上呈现较显著的空间集聚与关联特征;(2)旅游绿色发展对生态环境质量具有明显的正向影响及空间溢出效应,中国沿海地区各省份旅游绿色发展水平每提升1%,本地生态环境质量将上升0.302%,邻近省份将上升0.139%;(3)旅游绿色发展与第三产业、科技支出的交互作用能够有效增强其对生态环境质量的正向影响,但与第二产业、人口数量的交互作用会降低其对生态环境质量的正向影响。为实现中国沿海地区旅游绿色转型发展,应重视海洋第三产业发展及科技水平提升,促进污染排放整体下降,提升生态环境质量。
张广海, 刘二恋. 中国沿海地区旅游绿色发展对生态环境质量的影响分析[J]. 中国生态旅游, 2022, 12(5): 788-800.
Zhang Guanghai, Liu Erlian. The impacts of green development of tourism on the quality of ecological environment in coastal areas of China[J]. ECOTOURISM, 2022, 12(5): 788-800.
表1
中国沿海地区2011—2020年旅游绿色水平与生态环境质量全域空间相关性检验结果
旅游绿色发展 | 生态环境质量 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
年份 | Moran’s I | P 值 | 年份 | Moran’s I | P 值 |
2011 | 0.155 | 0.084 | 2011 | 0.107 | 0.034 |
2012 | 0.045 | 0.082 | 2012 | 0.517 | 0.013 |
2013 | 0.183 | 0.065 | 2013 | 0.190 | 0.027 |
2014 | 0.253 | 0.011 | 2014 | 0.036 | 0.010 |
2015 | 0.063 | 0.046 | 2015 | 0.066 | 0.063 |
2016 | 0.337 | 0.066 | 2016 | 0.051 | 0.028 |
2017 | 0.190 | 0.058 | 2017 | 0.252 | 0.007 |
2018 | 0.132 | 0.002 | 2018 | 0.765 | 0.001 |
2019 | 0.356 | 0.011 | 2019 | 0.177 | 0.051 |
2020 | 0.195 | 0.029 | 2020 | 0.086 | 0.080 |
表4
空间计量模型适配性检验结果
检验 | LM值 | P值 | 检验 | LR值 | P值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LM_ Spatial lag | 2.447 | 0.000 | Wald _Spatial lag | 3.390 | 0.003 |
Robust LM_ Spatial lag | 0.992 | 0.000 | LR _Spatial lag | 29.55 | 0.000 |
LM_ Spatial error | 7.996 | 0.005 | Wald _Spatial error | 4.260 | 0.029 |
Robust LM_ Spatial error | 5.640 | 0.018 | LR _Spatial error | 23.33 | 0.000 |
Hausman | 37.38 | 0.000 |
表5
中国沿海地区旅游绿色发展水平对生态环境质量的影响
变量名称 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
MT | 0.266** | 0.244*** | 0.240*** | 0.245*** | 0.302*** |
[0.068] | [0.049] | [0.045] | [0.043] | [0.043] | |
SI | -3.098** | -2.267 | -2.231 | -2.304 | |
[0.723] | [2.709] | [2.530] | [2.807] | ||
TI | 1.032** | 1.268 | 0.174 | ||
[0.080] | [2.737] | [2.923] | |||
lnPS | -1.06* | -2.03** | |||
[0.609] | [0.020] | ||||
lnTE | 9.708*** | ||||
[1.768] | |||||
_CON | 48.53*** | 198.20*** | 114.00 | -36.83 | -191.90* |
[7.602] | [35.343] | [262.199] | [289.599] | [46.638] | |
年份固定效应 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
省份固定效应 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
N | 310 | 310 | 310 | 310 | 310 |
R2 | 0.255 | 0.364 | 0.374 | 0.387 | 0.482 |
表 7
中国沿海地区旅游绿色发展对生态环境质量的传导机制检验结果
变量 | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) |
---|---|---|---|---|
MT | 0.386** | 0.333** | 0.425*** | 0.375** |
[0.098] | [0.084] | [0.097] | [0.013] | |
SI | -2.010 | -1.679 | -2.315 | -1.496 |
[4.089] | [2.887] | [2.844] | [1.463] | |
TI | 0.008 | 0.442 | 0.180 | 3.981* |
[3.651] | [2.299] | [2.958] | [1.605] | |
lnPS | -27.080* | -25.940* | -28.100* | -38.140* |
[14.085] | [16.233] | [16.078] | [15.490] | |
lnTE | 9.807*** | 10.560*** | 9.664*** | -53.390** |
[2.020] | [1.976] | [1.727] | [15.943] | |
MT·SI | -0.195* | |||
[0.011] | ||||
MT·TI | 0.130** | |||
[0.010] | ||||
MT·PS | -0.160* | |||
[0.092] | ||||
MT·TE | 0.880** | |||
[0.240] | ||||
_CON | -214.8 | -208.4 | -198.7 | -378.1 |
[335.260] | [218.417] | [255.773] | [296.455] | |
年份固定 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
省份固定 | 是 | 是 | 是 | 是 |
N | 310 | 310 | 310 | 310 |
R2 | 0.473 | 0.485 | 0.473 | 0.646 |
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